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Why Investors Should Say Yes To Drugs

Drug stocks offer an opportunity for investors in the wake of Thursday’s Supreme Court decision upholding much of the president’s health-care plan. They remain priced at sharp discounts to the broad market, and many of these companies stand more to gain than lose from the changes.

On one hand, the industry will have to pay an estimated $80 billion in fees and rebates over a decade to help pay for the plan. That’s a vast sum, but it’s dwarfed by the money drug companies make.

For the top six drug makers alone, assuming their revenues don’t grow at all over the next decade, the fees would amount to about 3% of revenues.

Wall Street expects drug revenues to decline in the near term, as patents expire on key drugs. Pfizer (PFE) is forecast to bring in revenues of $59.3 billion in 2014, down from $67.4 billion last year. For Merck, projected 2014 revenues are $46.5 billion, down from $48.0 billion last year.

But after 2014, revenues for most big drug makers are projected to resume growing. Companies launch new blockbuster drugs by then, but the larger opportunity lays with the tens of millions of Americans who will be prodded toward buying health insurance.

Anyone who has paid a $20 copay on a bottle of pills that would otherwise cost $200 knows that the insured are more likely to buy prescription pills than the uninsured.

Some companies, like Merck, are expected to return to today’s level of revenues within two years of the law taking effect. Others, like Pfizer, will lose such a large chunk of revenues from patent expirations on key drugs (in its case, Lipitor for cholesterol) that revenues are expected to take longer to bounce back.

But this “patent cliff” has long been discounted into drug stock valuations. Merck (MRK) sells for 10.7 times this year’s earnings forecast; Pfizer, 10.3 times; Eli Lilly, 13 times and Novartis, 10.4 times. The median for companies in the S&P 500 index is 15 times current-fiscal-year earnings forecasts.

One key for investors is that the costs imposed on drug companies from the new health-care law have already begun. The revenues won’t turn up until after 2014. That leaves these companies looking less attractive to investors now than they might in several years.

As a result, with share prices low, dividend yields are plump. Eli Lilly shares yield 4.7%; Pfizer 3.9%; Merck 4.1% and Novartis 4.5%. Two things investors have rushed into lately are companies that make staple goods, demand for which tends to hold up even in a down economy, and stocks with high dividend yields, because bond yields are near record lows. Drug stocks fulfill both of these demands, and yet remain relatively unloved.

That means buyers who scoop up these shares now stand to be rewarded with high income right away, and potential for growth in future years, once these companies learn to adapt to, and profit from, the new health care rules.

Mutual fund investors may prefer to stick with an exchange-traded fund that tracks a drug stock index.  But yields on these are much lower, partly because of fees, but mostly because these funds have plenty of exposure to smaller drug companies that pay little or nothing in dividends.

The iShares Dow Jones U.S. Pharmaceuticals Index Fund (IHE) costs 0.47% a year and yields 1.4%. SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF, which weights companies equally, giving investors even more exposure to small firms, costs 0.35% a year and has a dividend yield of 0.8%.

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    • By WebOsPublisher

      [Archive] Trojan Hunter 4.0 RC 1Beta is out other anti-trojan software
      Trojan Hunter 4.0 RC 1Beta is out [Archive] – Wilders Security Forums
      Wilders Security Forums > Security Products > other anti-trojan software > Trojan Hunter 4.0 RC 1Beta is out
      PDA
      View Full Version : Trojan Hunter 4.0 RC 1Beta is out
      tosbsasAugust 24th, 2004, 06:17 PMTrojanHunter 4.0 RC (Release Candidate) 1 is available for testing. Please read this entire post before deciding whether or not you want to try it.
      TrojanHunter 4.0 RC1 download:
      misec.net/test/TrojanHunter4RC1.exe
      TrojanHunter 4 has an entirely new, next-generation file-scanning engine. It may (probably will) still generate some false positives. If you encounter any, please post your scan report as a reply to this thread so that the false positives can be fixed. You should not clean any trojans that are found
      with this RC as the detection could be a false positive! You have been warned. Please post about all bugs and other issues that you encounter in this new version.
      If you are not a licensed TrojanHunter user you should be aware that installing the RC will start your 30-day trial period.
      What’s new in TrojanHunter 4?
      —————————–
      – Code-based signatures! All signatures are now entirely code-based which makes them very, very strong. There is no way to hex-edit a trojan to avoid detection, short of decompiling the trojan, altering it in very specific locations and recompiling it. Most people who can do that would probably just write their own trojan.
      - Install-Time Updater allows trial users to update the detection rules during installation.
      - Ability to view and delete detected NTFS Alternata Data Streams
      - Improved startup time
      - TrojanHunter Guard’s tray icon now automatically re-created after Explorer crashes
      - LiveUpdate handles several updates per day.
      - New custom scan option: Scan selected folders
      - Smaller ruleset files.
      - Bug fix: "Loading trojan icons" dialog would hang after running LiveUpdate on some systems.
      Ruben
      rerun2August 24th, 2004, 09:59 PM- Quote: "- Code-based signatures! All signatures are now entirely code-based which makes them very, very strong. There is no way to hex-edit a trojan to avoid detection, short of decompiling the trojan, altering it in very specific locations and recompiling it. Most people who can do that would probably just write their own trojan." -
      Does this work against runtime-packed files?
      Andreas1August 25th, 2004, 06:22 PM- Quote: "Does this work against runtime-packed files?" -
      Specifics about the new engine will be published when the release is finally out. As of now, you will have to try for yourself, or find one who will do it for you (can’t help you there, tho, sorry). But personally, I would assume that "next generation scan engine" pretty much looks like something of this sort.
      Andreas
      ———-August 26th, 2004, 04:23 AM- Quote: "Does this work against runtime-packed files?" -
      How should it? Sorry but it doesn’t work against runtime-packed files…
      And TrojanHunter can only unpack some upx packed files.
      InfinityAugust 26th, 2004, 05:14 AMI believe they can unpack zip files and winrar too. from their guard. and they uses stronger signatures, what the … that may mean.
      ———-August 26th, 2004, 05:33 AMi mean pe file packers, like upx, aspack etc.
      InfinityAugust 26th, 2004, 05:48 AMthe only at that does this is ewido…
      illukkaAugust 26th, 2004, 06:52 AMactually its now RC2
      forum.misec.net/board/TrojanHunterBeta/1093462002
      InfinityAugust 26th, 2004, 07:15 AMYes, we were aware of the update Illuka but at the time of writing this whole thread, there was no mention of the second release.
      and for keeping us updated, we have the update area ;D
      this was going to be a good thread, so I hope this can continue a little further.
      controlerAugust 26th, 2004, 07:39 AM"If you are not a licensed TrojanHunter user you should be aware that installing the RC will start your 30-day trial period."
      Which basicly means, if you have ever installed any other version of Trojan Hunter you will not be able to install and use this new version without reformating your hard drive lol
      Bruce
      InfinityAugust 26th, 2004, 08:54 AMwhich is quite normal I guess, 30day trial, even for beta…nowadays.
      Peaches4UAugust 27th, 2004, 11:24 PM??? ::) :(
      rerun2August 29th, 2004, 12:24 AM- Quote: "Specifics about the new engine will be published when the release is finally out. As of now, you will have to try for yourself, or find one who will do it for you (can’t help you there, tho, sorry)." -
      I contacted Magnus 2-3 days ago with my inquiry and provided him with a link to this thread. I did not receive a reply yet (but hopefully one will arrive soon), or better yet a reply in this thread from him.
      - Quote: "Sorry but it doesn’t work against runtime-packed files…
      And TrojanHunter can only unpack some upx packed files." -
      I had a similar feeling that the files would have to be unpacked in some way for there to be any benefits from the code-based signatures. Do you think the same goes with files that are encrypted? Like with morphine or something?
      Overall strong code-based signatures sound very promising, I just find the following quote a little confusing…
      - Quote: "There is no way to hex-edit a trojan to avoid detection, short of decompiling the trojan, altering it in very specific locations and recompiling it. Most people who can do that would probably just write their own trojan." -
      Code-based signatures sound like they would be effective against hex-edited trojans, so i am not really arguing about that point. But if one were to pack the trojan and encrypt it, would that not be easier/require less knowledge than decompiling, altering, and recompiling?
      I do not mean to sound like i am bashing TH. I wuld just like to know a little more about it. TH hasn’t been discussed here in awhile, and with this new release maybe it is a good time to get to know TH better (particularly in the area of detection).
      ReGenAugust 29th, 2004, 04:42 AM- Quote: "
      Code-based signatures sound like they would be effective against hex-edited trojans, so i am not really arguing about that point. But if one were to pack the trojan and encrypt it, would that not be easier/require less knowledge than decompiling, altering, and recompiling?" -
      This may be true. But eventually the ‘working code’ has to end up in memory, and that’s where TH’s real-time memory scanner – TH Guard – would kick in (operates much the same way as BoClean).
      I’m sure there’ll always be ways of disguising files from file scanners. Security software is nearly always playing catch-up against new techniques developed to aid hackers. But catch-up is better than standing still.
      Every new advance in programs like TH to prevent casual script kiddies from seeing my data is a good step forward in my books.
      TrojanHunter 4 currently unpacks almost all versions of UPX and some basic packers like Lamecrypt and Noodlecrypt, plus Magnus has indicated that the unpacking engine will be expanded once TH4 is released.
      rerun2August 29th, 2004, 02:43 PMGood to hear ReGen, thank you for the info :)
      lynchknotOctober 29th, 2004, 01:49 AMlol – yep, installed and ready to beta test but my trial is up!
      HandsOffOctober 30th, 2004, 07:03 PMcontroler -
      can you elaborate on,
      ""If you are not a licensed TrojanHunter user you should be aware that installing the RC will start your 30-day trial period."
      Which basicly means, if you have ever installed any other version of Trojan Hunter you will not be able to install and use this new version without reformating your hard drive lol
      Bruce
      I guess you might think that a beta program tester is in a manner of speaking performing a service to the program developement, and/or that he or she has not evaluated the full version and certainly should be entitled to evaluate the full program before deciding wether to buy. Well…I agree. To software developers in general: You can’t have it both ways! It’s a beta program, or it is a commercial program with or without a free trial period.
      That said, Trojan Hunter 4.0 full version is out and it looks very good so far. Just one labeled "possible trojan" that i believe is legit program, and very fast with ease of use, and resident trojan guard feature. It spotted 4 trojans in an old archive volume. they were files i thought i had detected and deleted in the past, but knowing me, i later restored them with a restore having completely forgotten the trojans. Anyway, this is my 30-day trial.
      (BTW, I actually attempted purchasing TD3, but their website could not process the transaction, which does not inspire a whole lot of confidence in me. I have written them, but it is the weekend so I cant expect an answer for a while – Trojan Hunter by way of contrast uses "Kagi" to process their orders. By sheer coincidence I bought the Flaming Pear "Creative Pack" just last week through Kagi. I must say they were the epidemy of efficiency. By the time I checked my email the receipt and s/n were there. Some people think that’s too much to expect, I guess).
      - HandsOff
      azumi21October 31st, 2004, 07:07 PM- Quote: "the only at that does this is ewido…" -
      hmm interesting, perhaps I should give Ewido another look.
      jaytNovember 1st, 2004, 09:49 PMAbout false positives–I just downloaded the evaluation copy of Trojan Hunter 4. and installed it and ran it. It found a copy of Steve Gibson’s Leak Test.exe which I had in my Downloads folder and identified it as a Trojan and offered to clean (rename) it for me.
      This is just for your information.
      InfinityNovember 2nd, 2004, 06:40 AMthe fact that trojanhunter sees leaktest as a possible malware doesn’t say anything to me and it is sure a false positive. leaktests should not be flagged as malware cause the only thing they do is to test your firewall…
      just my two cents here.
      ronjorNovember 2nd, 2004, 07:02 AM- Quote: "About false positives–I just downloaded the evaluation copy of Trojan Hunter 4. and installed it and ran it. It found a copy of Steve Gibson’s Leak Test.exe which I had in my Downloads folder and identified it as a Trojan and offered to clean (rename) it for me.
      This is just for your information." -
      Leak test exhibits trojan like behaviour.
      I believe some anti-trojan programs have removed that definition from their database.
      grc.com/lt/faq.htm
      vBulletin® Copyright ©2000-2012, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
      Copyright ©2002 – 2012, Wilders Security Forums

      http://id.lenta.ru/profile/108850/

    • By WebOsPublisher

      How to make your Desktop Icons Transparent
      How to make your Desktop Icons Transparent
      HTB Knowledgebase
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      Go to ontrol Panel System, Advanced Performance area Settings button Visual Effects tab “Use drop shadows for icon labels on the Desktop”.
      Go to ontrol Panel
      Go to ontrol Panel
      Go to ontrol Panel
      Go to ontrol Panel
      Before After setting transparency
      Click
      Here to View all the questions in Windows XP Tips
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    • as Brandon replied I’m shocked that some people can profit $8609 in four weeks on the internet. have you seen this web site makecash16com

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Investor Alert
need to know
U.S. stocks end wild week higher
Staples, Office Depot to delay close of merger
PBF Energy chemical leak in Del. refinery
Drug maker Cortendo files for IPO
‘War Room’ could be box-office surprise
Oil scores biggest weekly gain since 2009
Ashley Madison CEO steps down
Amgen gets FDA OK for cholesterol treatment
Atlantic hurricanes lose sway over oil and gas
5 silly new words in the Oxford dictionary

Apple Watch debut stronger than previously thought: IDC
Apple to host Sept. 9 product event
Apple closes in on Fitbit in wearables

Craft beer acquisition by Duvel — stay small, stay beautiful
Firestone is latest U.S. brewer to join the Duvel family
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Never use a market order when stocks are selling off
Schwab site hit by outages in busy trade stretch
Lack of fear means this correction isn’t finished

Most imposing stock ‘wall of worry’ in 5 years
Worried? With good advice, you won't be

John Bogle sees promise in market pullbacks
A strategy to make money in this crazy market
Record $29.5 billion yanked from stock funds

Roubini: Better early warning system is needed

Why you should worry and be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
Both worry, be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
This wild market is no threat to your income and spending

A sign for Moody's rating agency is displayed at the company headquarters in New York, September 18, 2012.  AFP PHOTO/Emmanuel Dunand        (Photo credit should read EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP/GettyImages)
ADP debt-funded buyback raises Moody’s ire

Democratic leaders frustrated by Clinton’s handling of email issue
More frustration with Clinton on email issue
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Poland looks next to turn against the EU

China wins the Battle of Mountain Pass
China just undermined the U.S. Defense Department

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These are the best jobs for millennials


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Markets »

131.79MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 112.32M
Unchanged
186
Decliners
2190
Advancers
4209
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,643 -12 0.07%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,828 +16 0.32%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,989 +1 0.06%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,373 +13 0.54%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45.33 +2.77 6.51%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 6,248 +56 0.90%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 10,299 -17 0.17%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,675 +17 0.36%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 21,994 -208 0.93%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 10,353 +63 0.61%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 363 +1 0.28%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,798 +45 1.64%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 19,136 +562 3.03%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 21,612 -226 1.04%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 3,232 +149 4.82%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 26,392 +161 0.61%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,956 +11 0.36%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.54%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 121.70 +0.67 0.55%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.54 0.00 0.07%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.72 +0.00 0.03%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.15 +0.38 0.40%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 88.50 +0.24 0.27%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 2.18 0.00 0.12%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.75 +0.00 0.17%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.91 -0.02 0.80%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 2.06 +0.01 0.26%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.85 -0.02 0.96%
Japan 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866525/realtime 0.38 -0.01 2.48%
Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45 +3 6.51%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/7599553/delayed 374 -1 0.20%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/38649152/delayed 16,632 -18 0.11%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/30356461/delayed 1,986 -3 0.15%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/3134148/delayed 15 +0 0.89%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 91.01 1.28 1.43%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 113.29 0.37 0.33%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/30194416/composite 630.38 -7.23 -1.13%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 16.36 -0.08 -0.49%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 53.28 -0.16 -0.30%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 13.74 0.18 1.33%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 33.29 -0.15 -0.45%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 33.26 0.23 0.70%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 25.16 0.15 0.60%
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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.5%
2 yr CD
0.8%
1 yr CD
0.6%
MMA $10K+
0.3%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.62% 11.62% 11.53%
Business 12.85% 12.85% 12.85%
Student 13.14% 13.14% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.12% 14.12% 14.00%
Airline 15.10% 15.10% 15.15%
Reward 15.14% 15.14% 14.99%
Cash Back 15.27% 15.27% 15.26%
Instant Approval 18.00% 18.00% 17.93%
Bad Credit 22.73% 22.73% 22.48%
Source:CreditCards.com

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