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North Korea fires long-range rocket
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China’s forex reserves poised for another record drop
China's foreign-currency reserves drop $99 bln
Will China soon burn through its reserves?

7 cruises for people who hate cruises
7 cruises for people who hate cruises



3 mistakes to avoid in your first 3 years of retirement
3 mistakes to avoid in your first 3 years of retirement

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Worst money mistakes at any age
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Investors dump stocks, scoop up bonds for 5th straight week
Investors again dump stocks, scoop up bonds
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The 20 dividend stocks that Wall Street loves most
Dividend stocks that will give you a raise

All the bad things Hillary Clinton
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Clinton to ‘look into’ paid-speech transcripts

National polls show Bernie Sanders nearly even with Hillary Clinton
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Why do young voters like Sanders so much?
Is ‘Trump bubble’ bursting in New Hampshire?
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Four reasons the January jobs report is fishy
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Here comes oil for just $20 a barrel


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Tesla earnings: Model 3 spending, Model X sales in focus
Tesla earnings: Model 3, Model X in focus

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Markets »

139.01MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 128.61M
Unchanged
165
Decliners
4918
Advancers
1419
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,205 -212 1.29%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,363 -146 3.25%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,880 -35 1.85%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,139 -24 1.12%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31.00 -0.72 2.27%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 5,848 -51 0.86%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 9,286 -107 1.14%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,201 -28 0.66%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 17,250 -376 2.13%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 8,500 +31 0.37%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 326 -3 0.87%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,510 +7 0.29%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 16,820 -225 1.32%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 19,288 +105 0.55%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 2,763 -18 0.63%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 24,617 +279 1.14%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,623 +65 2.53%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.47%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 116.87 +0.09 0.08%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.45 -0.01 0.60%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.71 -0.01 1.83%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.96 +0.41 0.42%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 89.81 +0.50 0.56%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 1.83 0.00 0.00%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.30 -0.01 2.16%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.56 +0.05 3.14%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 1.65 +0.03 1.72%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.56 0.00 0.00%
Japan 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866525/realtime 0.03 -0.03 51.16%
Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31 -1 2.27%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/25518691/delayed 366 -3 0.81%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/48241424/delayed 16,118 -210 1.29%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/43106711/delayed 1,874 -34 1.78%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/32655632/delayed 15 +0 1.21%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 104.07 -6.42 -5.81%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 94.02 -2.58 -2.67%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/59527964/composite 683.57 -24.44 -3.45%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 12.95 -0.30 -2.26%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 39.86 -0.93 -2.28%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 11.45 -0.08 -0.69%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 36.88 0.35 0.96%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 30.46 -0.15 -0.49%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 28.54 -0.64 -2.19%
Visit the quote page and your most recently viewed stocks will automatically be displayed here.
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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.3%
2 yr CD
0.7%
1 yr CD
0.5%
MMA $10K+
0.2%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.96% 11.88% 11.62%
Business 13.12% 13.11% 12.85%
Student 13.42% 13.42% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.35% 14.30% 14.12%
Airline 15.17% 15.16% 15.10%
Cash Back 15.26% 15.23% 15.27%
Reward 15.28% 15.25% 15.14%
Instant Approval 18.21% 18.18% 18.00%
Bad Credit 22.88% 22.88% 22.73%
Source:CreditCards.com

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Greece’s Election and Your Portfolio

Greece holds a national election on Sunday that is widely seen as a vote on whether it will remain in the euro zone. U.S. investors may have more at stake in the outcome than they think. In the short term, an unexpected outcome could sway portfolio values by 5% or more in either direction, according to a Thursday report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The contest is between the far-left Syriza party, which has said it will reject the austerity measures Greece agreed to as part of past bailouts, and the center-right New Democracy party, which would leave the measures largely intact. If the new Greek government rejects the austerity measures outright, the country’s creditors would likely withhold future bailout funds, leaving the nation with little cash and likely forcing it from the euro zone.

No opinion poll results have been released since June 2, in keeping with Greek law, but a massive 10% rally in Greek shares on Thursday could signal that investors believe the country will form a pro-euro government.

But such an outcome might not produce the biggest gains for investors in coming weeks, oddly enough. By BofA’s reckoning, the most bullish outcome is that Greece fails to form a pro-euro government, resulting in a decisive response from the European Central Bank. That could include an interest rate cut, large bond purchases designed to push rates lower and a new program to guarantee bank deposits across Europe, or to recapitalize struggling banks.

The probability of all this is “low”, but it could send the S&P 500 index 5% to 10% higher in a month, according to BofA. The 10-year Treasury yield would jump to 2.1% from its recent level of about 1.6% as investors left safe havens for risky assets.  Gold would shoot to $1,700 an ounce from about $1,620 on anxiety over all that money-printing. Among the best places for investors to be would be European bank shares.

Only slightly more likely is the worst-case scenario, which consists of the same election outcome minus the policy response. Stocks and gold would shed around 5% within a month, and a rush for Treasurys would reduce the 10-year yield to a record low of 1.3%.

The most likely outcome, according to BofA? Greece forms a pro-euro government and sticks to its austerity program, and the policy response is limited.  Any rally in stocks is sharp but short-lived, as investors quickly turn their attention from Greece’s euro membership to wobbly Spanish banks and the weak European economy in general.

In other words, under the most likely scenario, the investment landscape looks pretty much the way it does now, for better or worse.

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    • By WebOsPublisher

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    • good article pointing to the different and difficult scenarios facing investors in the coming days and weeks…tbc

    • No one listens to BA anyway.

    • @Marketwatcher
      The article hedges everything it says. No one knows how this will play out but my guess is Greece leaves the Euro Zone and defaults on existing loans and prints Drachma’s to cover internal costs without the ability to do much importing.

About Real-Time Advice

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MarketWatch - Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News
Bulletin
Investor Alert
need to know
North Korea fires long-range rocket
At least 15 dead in Taiwan earthquake
GoPro rallies on Microsoft licensing deal
When is China stock market closed for holiday?
What time is the Super Bowl?

China’s forex reserves poised for another record drop
China's foreign-currency reserves drop $99 bln
Will China soon burn through its reserves?

7 cruises for people who hate cruises
7 cruises for people who hate cruises



3 mistakes to avoid in your first 3 years of retirement
3 mistakes to avoid in your first 3 years of retirement

How to retire early and still avoid 10% penalty
Worst money mistakes at any age
Know 4 important retirement account changes

Investors dump stocks, scoop up bonds for 5th straight week
Investors again dump stocks, scoop up bonds
FANG stocks take big bite out of Nasdaq

20 dividend stocks that Wall Street loves the most
The 20 dividend stocks that Wall Street loves most
Dividend stocks that will give you a raise

All the bad things Hillary Clinton
has done

Clinton to ‘look into’ paid-speech transcripts

National polls show Bernie Sanders nearly even with Hillary Clinton
National polls show Sanders nearly even with Clinton
Why do young voters like Sanders so much?
Is ‘Trump bubble’ bursting in New Hampshire?
Rubio, Cruz gain in N.H., WSJ/NBC poll finds

How even ‘cord cutters’ can watch the Super Bowl
Real-time win probability for the Super Bowl
Better odds here than Super Bowl Predictor
Super Bowl stock predictor has a streak going

Not watching the Super Bowl? Do this instead
Not watching the Super Bowl? Do this instead
It’s pretty hard to get a mortgage in 8 minutes
Super Bowl 50: Domestic-violence PSA
Here’s the PayPal ad running on Super Bowl

Taste the whiskey that Peyton Manning won’t try
10 Super Bowl beers that aren’t Bud Light

Twitter said to plan algorithm for timeline

Twitter suspends 125,000 terrorist accounts

John Bogle dismisses index-fund 'danger'
John Bogle dismisses index-fund 'danger'

Wanted at Vanguard: A CFO
Wanted at Vanguard: A CFO



How to know if your tax preparer is a crook
How to know if your tax preparer is a crook

Tax software firm warns of data breach

Bad buybacks and nine other money stories you may have missed
Bad buybacks and 9 other must-read stories
Only place left to invest if ‘Oilmageddon’ hits

Four reasons the January jobs report is fishy
Why the Fed is likely to stay put in March

Chicken-little investors, please read jobs report

Barron's: Here comes $20 oil
Here comes oil for just $20 a barrel


Morgan Stanley gives up on higher oil prices

Bank stocks have taken enough punishment, UBS analyst says
Bank stocks have taken enough punishment, analyst says

The best biotech plays once sector stabilizes

Tesla earnings: Model 3 spending, Model X sales in focus
Tesla earnings: Model 3, Model X in focus

/conga/frontpage.html 367265

Markets »

139.01MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 128.61M
Unchanged
165
Decliners
4918
Advancers
1419
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,205 -212 1.29%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,363 -146 3.25%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,880 -35 1.85%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,139 -24 1.12%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31.00 -0.72 2.27%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 5,848 -51 0.86%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 9,286 -107 1.14%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,201 -28 0.66%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 17,250 -376 2.13%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 8,500 +31 0.37%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 326 -3 0.87%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,510 +7 0.29%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 16,820 -225 1.32%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 19,288 +105 0.55%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 2,763 -18 0.63%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 24,617 +279 1.14%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,623 +65 2.53%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.47%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 116.87 +0.09 0.08%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.45 -0.01 0.60%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.71 -0.01 1.83%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.96 +0.41 0.42%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 89.81 +0.50 0.56%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 1.83 0.00 0.00%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.30 -0.01 2.16%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.56 +0.05 3.14%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 1.65 +0.03 1.72%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.56 0.00 0.00%
Japan 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866525/realtime 0.03 -0.03 51.16%
Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31 -1 2.27%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/25518691/delayed 366 -3 0.81%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/48241424/delayed 16,118 -210 1.29%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/43106711/delayed 1,874 -34 1.78%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/32655632/delayed 15 +0 1.21%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 104.07 -6.42 -5.81%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 94.02 -2.58 -2.67%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/59527964/composite 683.57 -24.44 -3.45%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 12.95 -0.30 -2.26%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 39.86 -0.93 -2.28%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 11.45 -0.08 -0.69%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 36.88 0.35 0.96%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 30.46 -0.15 -0.49%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 28.54 -0.64 -2.19%
Visit the quote page and your most recently viewed stocks will automatically be displayed here.
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MarketWatch Portfolio

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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.3%
2 yr CD
0.7%
1 yr CD
0.5%
MMA $10K+
0.2%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.96% 11.88% 11.62%
Business 13.12% 13.11% 12.85%
Student 13.42% 13.42% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.35% 14.30% 14.12%
Airline 15.17% 15.16% 15.10%
Cash Back 15.26% 15.23% 15.27%
Reward 15.28% 15.25% 15.14%
Instant Approval 18.21% 18.18% 18.00%
Bad Credit 22.88% 22.88% 22.73%
Source:CreditCards.com

Top 3 from Barron's

Today's list of the most-viewed stories from Barron's. More »

  1. 1.
  2. 2.
  3. 3.

Visit Barrons.com

SPONSORED SECTIONS

Trending Tickers
  • /quotes/zigman/25397342/composite UGLD+4.63%
  • /quotes/zigman/23280699/composite TRVN+2.17%
  • /quotes/zigman/8537804/composite VSTM-5.04%
  • /quotes/zigman/5930245/composite SKUL-2.14%
  • /quotes/zigman/30382045/composite GMCR-0.01%
X
Powered by StockTwits
Link to MarketWatch's Slice.

As of July 2, 2013, the SmartMoney content you loved now lives on MarketWatch.

MarketWatch will continue to provide the same important news and information you rely on every day. And, as a MarketWatch user, you will be able to enjoy:

  • Personalized news and quote email alerts
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