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Should You Ignore Housing Data?

Data released this morning shows U.S. home prices continue to fall – a stark contrast with a realtors report released last week.  Which numbers should home buyers and sellers believe?

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices reported today that U.S. home prices fell nearly 3% for the three months ending March compared to a year prior. Nationally, prices hit new post-crisis lows with average home prices in five cities — Atlanta, Chicago, Las Vegas, New York and Portland – reaching a new bottom. In contrast, the National Association of Realtors’ data for March showed that median prices for existing-home sales rose 2.5% from a year prior. Last week, the NAR released its April report, which showed prices spiked 10%.

Much of the discrepancy comes down to how the two groups measure sales. The NAR tracks existing homes that sell each month, while the S&P/Case-Shiller looks at repeat sales, meaning the price a home recently sold for compared to what the same property fetched its previous sale. In other words, the S&P is looking at how the price of a specific home changes over time, while NAR is looking at the prices of homes sold in one month versus previous ones.  If more large, expensive homes sell during one month, that will push the median price the NAR tracks up, but it may not mean prices overall are rising.

On top of that, NAR’s data is monthly while the S&P/Case-Shiller is based on a three-month moving average.

For home buyers and sellers, the two reports make it difficult to discern if the housing recovery is gaining steam or if home prices will continue to tread along the bottom for some time. “Because of the peculiarities of the housing market, trying to gauge it on a monthly basis is very hard,” says John Vogel, adjunct professor of real estate at Dartmouth’s Tuck School of Business.

But experts say the national data impacts buyer and seller psychology. For instance, when home prices stay low, fewer sellers are willing to sell their home on the cheap. As of April, for-sale listings of existing homes were down 22% from a year prior, according to the NAR. While rising sales have pushed inventory down, housing analysts say listings are dropping because homeowners are choosing to wait until the housing recovery gains momentum and their home can sell at a higher price.

The NAR, however, says individual buyers and sellers shouldn’t pay much attention to the national data. “These numbers are meaningless to people making buying and selling decisions in local markets,” says spokesman Walter Molony. Instead, he says, they should be viewed as a broad indicator. Maureen Maitland, vice president of S&P Indices, says people shouldn’t take one month of data as the story for the year but should look over several months of data.

Rather than tracking national data, home buyers and sellers should focus on data within their local housing market, says Jack McCabe, an independent housing analyst in Deerfield Beach, Fla. Consumers can find out what prices homes in the neighborhood have been selling for by searching listing sites like Trulia.com and Zillow.com that show recent purchases prices for homes. They can also speak with independent housing experts in their market or with real estate agents.

For those who choose to pay attention to the national data, experts recommend digging deeper into the reports.  For instance, the NAR tracks home prices for up to 156 metro areas on a quarterly basis. Beyond that, its associations in larger states, including California, New York and Illinois, go further, providing data (on their web site) on even more cities and towns. In high-priced markets in large cities, the S&P Case-Shiller is a helpful starting point, experts say: It offers buyers and sellers data on how higher-priced homes are performing compared to the other price points in the same city.


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      TiPb Picks of the Week | iMore.com
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      TiPb Picks of the Week
      By Leanna Lofte, Sunday, Oct 24, 2010 a 3:46 pm
      Every week a few of us from team TiPb will bring you our current favorite, funnest, most useful App Store apps, WebApps, jailbreak apps, even the occasional accessory, web site, or desktop app if the mood strikes us. As long as they’re iPhone, iPad, or iPod touch related, they’re fair game.
      To see what we picked this week, and to tell us your pick, follow on after the break!
      Alli’s Pick: Touch Icon Creator
      Back in my Treo days, I managed to sweet talk ToySoft into creating an app called PictureDial. I like having people’s photos on a single screen, and able to speed dial by just tapping the photo.
      Touch Icon Creator is basically a web app that allows you to use your photos to create a speed dial/text/email icon. There is an option to confirm dial, but (at least in my opinion) that defeats the point of a speed dial, so I have it turned off. Takes a heartbeat longer than a normal speed dial since it has to bounce off the web, but if you like photos for dialing, it’s pretty clever.
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      [$0.99 - iTunes link]
      Ally’s Pick: Trainyard for iPhone
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      [$0.99 - iTunes Link]
      Andrew’s Pick: iTracker (Jailbreak)
      iTracker is a great new app available in Cydia for your jailbroken iPhone. The App allows for tracking down your lost or stolen iPhone — similar to the Find My iPhone feature under MobileMe — but with additional features and benefits.
      The way the app works is as soon as another SIM card is inserted into the phone, iTracker will automatically send the GPS coordinates to one of three designated phones via SMS. In addition, you’ll get the thief’s telephone number if you want to give them a quick call to let them know you’ll be swinging by to pick up your found or stolen iPhone soon.
      This awesome new app is only $4.99 (with no subscription required), and can quickly help you turn an unfortunate situation into a successful recovery with little work at all. However, if you end up tracking the perpetrator down, we’d suggest bringing some back up just in case.
      Farbod’s Pick: DisplayOut (Jailbreak)
      Created by Ryan Petrich, DisplayOut mirrors your iPhone/iPad/iPod touch to any external display using either Apple’s VGA cable or Apple Component cables. This app detects orientation and even has customizable zoom.
      I have tested it on my iPhone 4 running 4.1 and it works perfectly.
      George’s Pick: Mobile Mouse Pro
      Mobile Mouse Pro is one of the most sophisticated remote mouse applications on the iTunes App Store. The app connects your iPhone or iPod touch to either your Mac or PC and acts as either a wireless trackpad, or an air mouse.
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      [$1.99 - iTunes link]
      Leanna’s Pick: Moxier Collage
      Moxier Collage is a great photography application for the iPad that allows you to turn your photos into a beautiful collage. It comes stocked full with clipart, frames, backgrounds, and other goodies so that you can also easily design cards and posters. Using Moxier Collage is a pleasant experience as you drag your photos around, pinching and zooming, to make your perfect creation.
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      Rene’s pick: Markdown Mail
      Markdown Mail does just what the name implies: it lets you write HTML email in John Gruber’s Markdown syntax. But that’s not why I use it (I prefer plain text email). I use Markdown to format blog posts for TiPb, and for that Markdown Mail is great tool both to write and preview content on the go. A universal binary for iPhone/iPod touch and iPad, the latest version not only lets you write formatted text in a highly readable format, version 2.0 supports drafts and TextExpander.
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      Your pick?
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      Leanna Lofte
      App and Photography Editor at iMore. Mother, wife, and math instructor. Follow her on Twitter @llofte and send her apps to consider for review at iosapps@imore.com
      More Posts Website–
      More of: Apps, Jailbreak Apps, App Store Apps, Picks of the WeekMore of: Apps, Iphone Apps, Ipad Apps, Jailbreak Aps, Touch Icon Creator, Trainyard, Itracker, Displayout, Mobile Mouse Pro, Moxier Collage, Markdown Mail
      в†ђ PreviouslySteve Jobs: iPad 4.2 mute switch not changing, not user-definable
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      There are 10 comments.
      Add yours.
      Anonymous says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 4:02 pm – 2 years ago
      Kind of obscure, but iSSH helps me immensely, in allowing me to dial into my clients’ servers and help them out.
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      Geo Coldz says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 4:47 pm – 2 years ago
      Is DisplayOut free?
      Felix says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 4:55 pm – 2 years ago
      Has anyone used itracker successfully?
      Farbod21 says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 5:15 pm – 2 years ago
      DisplayOut is $1.99 on Cydia. Well worth it IMO, as Ryan Petrich updates often and gives great support for this wonderful app.
      carolinamic says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 6:07 pm – 2 years ago
      Mobile Monet is the best photo sketch and paint app in the AppStore and it only 0.99. I think every one should check it out.
      Trevor says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 6:33 pm – 2 years ago
      Don’t forget about Angry Birds Halloween! I haven’t purchased it yet but it looks great.
      Crayolaboi says:
      Oct 24, 2010 at 11:43 pm – 2 years ago
      Thanks for the air mouse, I have a friend that’s been asking for one.
      glenn#im says:
      Oct 25, 2010 at 12:56 am – 2 years ago
      Hurricane by Kitty code. If you live on the east, or west coast, this App is a must. Durning off season, you can use it to keep track of winter storms. They have hurricane HD for iPad also.
      T-Mobile iPhone User says:
      Oct 25, 2010 at 7:46 am – 2 years ago
      I like Rowmote Pro. That’s what I use instead of Mobile Mouse Pro.
      Anyone want to compare the two?
      Grant says:
      Oct 27, 2010 at 4:45 am – 2 years ago
      I’m need to have whatsAap and emoticons on my iPad and can’t get it installed
      Can anyone help me with this please.
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      Post subject: Shortcut KeyPosted: Fri Nov 12, 2004 3:07 am
      Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:05 amPosts: 157Location: Angel’s Home
      Hello, Master Navision
      How can I use shortcut key for button control?
      I want to make Point of Sales by using Navision and I want it user friendly. For example, press F1 for Enter, F2 for looking item,etc. but I want it by pressing button not menu button. Anyone can Help me?
      I still use Navision 3.70.
      Post subject: Posted: Fri Nov 12, 2004 9:51 am
      Joined: Wed Jan 14, 2004 10:20 amPosts: 624Location: AthensCountry:
      Since there is no direct shortcut assignement to buttons, you could create a menu button with a line for every button you use. In your buttons you call a function for every choice, and you call the same function from the corresponding menu item in the menu button and place shortcuts too.
      Then you could make the menu button width and height to zero, focusable=no. That way you have placed shortcuts in the menu items and
      the buttons on your form and can execute either…
      Post subject: Posted: Fri Nov 12, 2004 3:04 pm
      MVP Microsoft Dynamics NAV

      Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 5:37 pmPosts: 7896Location: Howell, MICountry:
      If you want to be user friendly, you should use the common Navision shortcut keys instead of re-arranging them according to your views. That way Navision users will intuitively know which buttons to hit for certain actions (i.e. F3 for a new record, F2 for editing and validating a field value, etc.).
      _________________Daniel Rimmelzwaan – ArcherPointMVP – Dynamics NAV
      Post subject: Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2004 11:40 am
      NAV TechDays 2012 attendee

      Joined: Fri Nov 01, 2002 8:56 pmPosts: 199Location: AmsterdamCountry:
      Couldn’t agree more!
      _________________Kind regards,Jan HoekTechnical ConsultantDSA-VISION
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