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U.S. stocks end wild week higher
Staples, Office Depot to delay close of merger
PBF Energy chemical leak in Del. refinery
Drug maker Cortendo files for IPO
‘War Room’ could be box-office surprise
Oil scores biggest weekly gain since 2009
Ashley Madison CEO steps down
Amgen gets FDA OK for cholesterol treatment
Atlantic hurricanes lose sway over oil and gas
5 silly new words in the Oxford dictionary

Apple Watch debut stronger than previously thought: IDC
Apple to host Sept. 9 product event
Apple closes in on Fitbit in wearables

Craft beer acquisition by Duvel — stay small, stay beautiful
Firestone is latest U.S. brewer to join the Duvel family
10 fall beers with absolutely no pumpkin in them

Instead of flavored vodka, flavored sake?

Never use a market order when stocks are selling off
Schwab site hit by outages in busy trade stretch
Lack of fear means this correction isn’t finished

Most imposing stock ‘wall of worry’ in 5 years
Worried? With good advice, you won't be

John Bogle sees promise in market pullbacks
A strategy to make money in this crazy market
Record $29.5 billion yanked from stock funds

Roubini: Better early warning system is needed

Why you should worry and be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
Both worry, be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
This wild market is no threat to your income and spending

A sign for Moody's rating agency is displayed at the company headquarters in New York, September 18, 2012.  AFP PHOTO/Emmanuel Dunand        (Photo credit should read EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP/GettyImages)
ADP debt-funded buyback raises Moody’s ire

Democratic leaders frustrated by Clinton’s handling of email issue
More frustration with Clinton on email issue
Poll shows Biden running stronger than Clinton
Trump: I’m OK with raising taxes on myself

Poland looks next to turn against the EU

China wins the Battle of Mountain Pass
China just undermined the U.S. Defense Department

China may be in worse shape than most of us think
What should China do to fix its economy?
Analysts dismiss fears of a China hard landing
‘Loch Ness monster’ and China's mystery rally

These are the best jobs for millennials
These are the best jobs for millennials


How momentum investing could go out of style
Momentum investing could be going out of style

Tesla Model S scores 103 on 100-point scale
Tesla Model S scores 103 on 100-point scale
Elon Musk retweets slow-driving Tesla owner
Colbert should ask Elon Musk, Kalanick this
$400,000 supercar goes up in flames

How to cope when you’re suddenly uninsured

/conga/frontpage.html 353614

Markets »

131.79MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 112.32M
Unchanged
186
Decliners
2190
Advancers
4209
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,643 -12 0.07%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,828 +16 0.32%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,989 +1 0.06%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,373 +13 0.54%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45.33 +2.77 6.51%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 6,248 +56 0.90%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 10,299 -17 0.17%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,675 +17 0.36%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 21,994 -208 0.93%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 10,353 +63 0.61%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 363 +1 0.28%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,798 +45 1.64%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 19,136 +562 3.03%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 21,612 -226 1.04%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 3,232 +149 4.82%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 26,392 +161 0.61%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,956 +11 0.36%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.54%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 121.70 +0.67 0.55%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.54 0.00 0.07%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.72 +0.00 0.03%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.15 +0.38 0.40%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 88.50 +0.24 0.27%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 2.18 0.00 0.12%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.75 +0.00 0.17%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.91 -0.02 0.80%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 2.06 +0.01 0.26%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.85 -0.02 0.96%
Japan 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866525/realtime 0.38 -0.01 2.48%
Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45 +3 6.51%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/7599553/delayed 374 -1 0.20%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/38649152/delayed 16,632 -18 0.11%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/30356461/delayed 1,986 -3 0.15%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/3134148/delayed 15 +0 0.89%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 91.01 1.28 1.43%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 113.29 0.37 0.33%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/30194416/composite 630.38 -7.23 -1.13%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 16.36 -0.08 -0.49%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 53.28 -0.16 -0.30%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 13.74 0.18 1.33%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 33.29 -0.15 -0.45%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 33.26 0.23 0.70%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 25.16 0.15 0.60%
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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.5%
2 yr CD
0.8%
1 yr CD
0.6%
MMA $10K+
0.3%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.62% 11.62% 11.53%
Business 12.85% 12.85% 12.85%
Student 13.14% 13.14% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.12% 14.12% 14.00%
Airline 15.10% 15.10% 15.15%
Reward 15.14% 15.14% 14.99%
Cash Back 15.27% 15.27% 15.26%
Instant Approval 18.00% 18.00% 17.93%
Bad Credit 22.73% 22.73% 22.48%
Source:CreditCards.com

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Dow Hits 13,000, But What Next?

The last time the Dow hit 13,000, stocks quickly proceeded to take a 50% nosedive. But as the index briefly crossed that milestone today, many advisers said the market looks a whole lot safer this time around.

Getty Images

The Dow broke 13,000 several times on Tuesday, before ending the day at 12966, up 16 points. It has certainly been a long road back: While many investors have recovered the money they lost in 2008, others are still struggling to catch up. The average participant in a 401(k) plan broke even between 2007 and 2010, in investment returns alone, according to the most recent available data from Vanguard. However, the range of returns was fairly wide, from a more than 5% loss to greater than 5% gain, and about half of retirement plan participants lost money in those three years.

But it’s not just that market prices are nearly back to pre-crisis levels, say advisers — the market climate has also started to improve. “In the last few years, the market has been so much more news-driven, we’ve had short-term wild and random volatility that makes the markets much more difficult to anticipate,” says Mike McGervey, the president and founder of McGervey Wealth Management. In 2012, that volatility has dropped significantly, with daily market moves being much smaller. McGervey says his technical analysis of recent chart patterns suggests that if the Dow does break through 13,000, stocks will likely post gains in the next quarter, too.

As a result, McGervey says he has been shifting client money into stocks for the past six weeks, and will continue if stocks keep rising. Currently, as much as 80% of his clients’ stock portfolios are in equities (and 20% in cash), up considerably from 2011.

To be sure, not everyone is scooping up stocks right now. Steven Roge, the portfolio manager of R.W. Roge & Company, says corporate profit margins are at historic highs, and predicts they’ll eventually have to return to more normal levels – and bring share prices down with them. “We think returns over the next 10 years will still be fairly muted,” he says. Roge says investors should rebalance their portfolios to take some gains, and reinvest some of the proceeds in bonds.

Nevertheless, more bullish advisers point out that stocks look cheaper than they were last time they hit 13,000. In particular, some tech stocks have steadily grown earnings through the entire credit crisis, says Karl Mills, the president of Jurika, Mills & Keifer. For the quarter ending in June 2008, the S&P 500 had a price-to-earnings ratio of about 25, based on reported earnings;  it’s now just 15.6.

Many pros say stocks also seem attractively valued relative to bonds. Buying bonds at today’s low yields pretty much guarantees losing money to inflation over the next decade, says Mills. On the other hand, snapping up stocks at today’s low valuations offers a very good chance of gains over the next decade, he says, with volatility along the way. He also recommends avoiding the hedged products that try to protect against downturns that were so popular last year. “They aren’t going to deliver the kind of returns they need because they have the parking brakes on,” he says. If stocks do fall, he says investors should see it as another buying opportunity.

Comments

We welcome thoughtful comments from readers. Please comply with our guidelines. Our blogs do not require the use of your real name.

Comments (5 of 5)

View all Comments »
    • Ha, a typical broker view that it’s always a great time to buy!

    • I’m confused. I thought that profitable investing involved buying low and selling high. Last August there were stories about money managers moving their clients out of stocks at the market low, and now managers are moving their clients into stocks, during a market high.

    • “What next”, well a 60 pt drop..that’s what was next after the DOW hit 13000!

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MarketWatch - Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News
Bulletin
Investor Alert
need to know
U.S. stocks end wild week higher
Staples, Office Depot to delay close of merger
PBF Energy chemical leak in Del. refinery
Drug maker Cortendo files for IPO
‘War Room’ could be box-office surprise
Oil scores biggest weekly gain since 2009
Ashley Madison CEO steps down
Amgen gets FDA OK for cholesterol treatment
Atlantic hurricanes lose sway over oil and gas
5 silly new words in the Oxford dictionary

Apple Watch debut stronger than previously thought: IDC
Apple to host Sept. 9 product event
Apple closes in on Fitbit in wearables

Craft beer acquisition by Duvel — stay small, stay beautiful
Firestone is latest U.S. brewer to join the Duvel family
10 fall beers with absolutely no pumpkin in them

Instead of flavored vodka, flavored sake?

Never use a market order when stocks are selling off
Schwab site hit by outages in busy trade stretch
Lack of fear means this correction isn’t finished

Most imposing stock ‘wall of worry’ in 5 years
Worried? With good advice, you won't be

John Bogle sees promise in market pullbacks
A strategy to make money in this crazy market
Record $29.5 billion yanked from stock funds

Roubini: Better early warning system is needed

Why you should worry and be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
Both worry, be happy that stocks aren’t a sure bet
This wild market is no threat to your income and spending

A sign for Moody's rating agency is displayed at the company headquarters in New York, September 18, 2012.  AFP PHOTO/Emmanuel Dunand        (Photo credit should read EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP/GettyImages)
ADP debt-funded buyback raises Moody’s ire

Democratic leaders frustrated by Clinton’s handling of email issue
More frustration with Clinton on email issue
Poll shows Biden running stronger than Clinton
Trump: I’m OK with raising taxes on myself

Poland looks next to turn against the EU

China wins the Battle of Mountain Pass
China just undermined the U.S. Defense Department

China may be in worse shape than most of us think
What should China do to fix its economy?
Analysts dismiss fears of a China hard landing
‘Loch Ness monster’ and China's mystery rally

These are the best jobs for millennials
These are the best jobs for millennials


How momentum investing could go out of style
Momentum investing could be going out of style

Tesla Model S scores 103 on 100-point scale
Tesla Model S scores 103 on 100-point scale
Elon Musk retweets slow-driving Tesla owner
Colbert should ask Elon Musk, Kalanick this
$400,000 supercar goes up in flames

How to cope when you’re suddenly uninsured

/conga/frontpage.html 353614

Markets »

131.79MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 112.32M
Unchanged
186
Decliners
2190
Advancers
4209
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,643 -12 0.07%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,828 +16 0.32%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,989 +1 0.06%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,373 +13 0.54%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45.33 +2.77 6.51%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 6,248 +56 0.90%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 10,299 -17 0.17%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,675 +17 0.36%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 21,994 -208 0.93%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 10,353 +63 0.61%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 363 +1 0.28%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,798 +45 1.64%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 19,136 +562 3.03%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 21,612 -226 1.04%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 3,232 +149 4.82%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 26,392 +161 0.61%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,956 +11 0.36%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.54%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 121.70 +0.67 0.55%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.54 0.00 0.07%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.72 +0.00 0.03%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.15 +0.38 0.40%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 88.50 +0.24 0.27%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 2.18 0.00 0.12%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.75 +0.00 0.17%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.91 -0.02 0.80%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 2.06 +0.01 0.26%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.85 -0.02 0.96%
Japan 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866525/realtime 0.38 -0.01 2.48%
Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2331095/delayed 45 +3 6.51%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/662444/delayed 1,133 +11 0.95%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/7599553/delayed 374 -1 0.20%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/38649152/delayed 16,632 -18 0.11%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/30356461/delayed 1,986 -3 0.15%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/3134148/delayed 15 +0 0.89%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 91.01 1.28 1.43%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 113.29 0.37 0.33%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/30194416/composite 630.38 -7.23 -1.13%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 16.36 -0.08 -0.49%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 53.28 -0.16 -0.30%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 13.74 0.18 1.33%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 33.29 -0.15 -0.45%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 33.26 0.23 0.70%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 25.16 0.15 0.60%
Visit the quote page and your most recently viewed stocks will automatically be displayed here.
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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.5%
2 yr CD
0.8%
1 yr CD
0.6%
MMA $10K+
0.3%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.62% 11.62% 11.53%
Business 12.85% 12.85% 12.85%
Student 13.14% 13.14% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.12% 14.12% 14.00%
Airline 15.10% 15.10% 15.15%
Reward 15.14% 15.14% 14.99%
Cash Back 15.27% 15.27% 15.26%
Instant Approval 18.00% 18.00% 17.93%
Bad Credit 22.73% 22.73% 22.48%
Source:CreditCards.com

SPONSORED SECTIONS

Trending Tickers
  • /quotes/zigman/71753/composite EZPW+1.39%
  • /quotes/zigman/17859502/composite DUG-4.33%
  • /quotes/zigman/597893/composite FAF-0.72%
  • /quotes/zigman/1546279/composite BNO+5.69%
  • /quotes/zigman/3000986/composite DANG-3.30%
X
Powered by StockTwits
Link to MarketWatch's Slice.

As of July 2, 2013, the SmartMoney content you loved now lives on MarketWatch.

MarketWatch will continue to provide the same important news and information you rely on every day. And, as a MarketWatch user, you will be able to enjoy:

  • Personalized news and quote email alerts
  • Editorial e-newsletters about personal finance, mutual funds and market-specific coverage
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  • Games, such as Virtual Stock Exchange and Beat the Darts
  • Free WSJ.com registration

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