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Nobel Prize-Winning 401(k) Advice

The new 401(k) fee-disclosure rules the Labor Department approved last week don’t address the bigger problem with the retirement plans, says psychologist Daniel Kahneman: They’re too much like cookie jars.

Getty Images

It’s not surprising 401(k)s mint so few millionaires, given that money stashed away for the future can so easily be cashed out in the present, he says. Kahneman, whose investigations into the biases and mental hiccups that make humans lousy decision makers won him the Nobel Prize, says these pots of cash are just too much a temptation.

“I have a sweet tooth,” the author of Thinking Fast and Slow tells SmartMoney.com. “When I have cookies at home, I consume them — because they are there.” Reaching into one’s nest egg can be just as irresistible, he says. Nearly a quarter of 401(k) savers allowed to take loans do so at any given time, according to one recent study — and over a seven-year period that rate increases to 50%. “It’s clear that in the conflict between the present and the future, the present tends to win,” Kahneman says. “The ease with which the 401(k) savings can be withdrawn when a financial emergency arises is clearly disastrous for people. Given the choice between cashing out your 401(k) and borrowing from relatives, most feel an obligation to go with the 401(k).”

As a general rule, investors would be better off with their hands tied and eyes close, he says. “With respect to my own investment policy, I have a very simple rule: don’t look,” he says. “I don’t look how well my investments are doing so I am not tempted to make quick decisions about it.” Freedom, he contends, can be overrated.

Kahneman’s work in behavioral economics highlighted our tendency to stumble when numbers are involved. The interplay between our automatic thinking and our more reflective analysis, causes us to stumble on statistics and all too often make the wrong call.

Our aversion to loss is a far more powerful force in decision making than the desire to gain, Kahneman stresses. So when decisions do need to be made, they shouldn’t be made quickly. “When it’s important, slow down. Take as much time as possible, pre-commit to a plan and stick with it.”

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    • By WebOsPublisher

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    • Hans Nancy, to start with: the last thing you are is foolish!Although I have found that kids are wurnedfol at any age (ours are 23 and 21 now and they are still great!), yours are now at a very special age: they are old enough to have a decent conversation with, they start forming their own opinions, they are adults in the making’. Yet, they are young enough still to want to be with you all the time, to learn from you, to be 100% part of family life. Soon, in the next year or 3, that is going to change: they will want to be more themselves’ and less part of you’. That is an obvious and neccesary process. So your epic trip (of which I read at least twice a week) is almost the end of an era’ when it comes to this phase in the relationship with your boys. You would have been SO sorry if you had not done this. And being teachers, you can as you say always work a bit longer to supplement your retirement savings.From a selfish point of view: I dont look forward to the day you get to the end of the trip, I will miss my regular read then![]

    • This is good advice, save and don’t look back. However a 401(k) should be one of many retirement vehicles as they tax on the harvest and not the seed.

    • I’ve got news for you out there. The only ones you should be watching out for are the “politicians in Washington, D.C.” who see your 401K as a cookie jar and if you haven’t noticed, with Senate Bill 1813, Sen. Baucus, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee added language to the bill to take away the over-one’s-lifetime distributions for some beneficiaries and/or contingent beneficiaries — like the retirement plan owner’s children.

      I learned Sen. Baucus has temporarily backed off, but the language is still in the bill — so let’s watch what happens. Those greedy politicians can’t stand the idea that there are several trillions out there in retirement plans and they want to take it so they can REDISTRIBUTE IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      Remember those who put money into their retirement plans did so based on what the Tax Code was at the time and expected it to remain the same!!!!

      Try calling your representatives in Washington,D.C. and let them know they should stay out of your 401K, 403b or TSP (for fed employees) — it is not their cookie jar–it is yours!!!

    • Hello, everybody, the good shoping place, the new season approaching, click in.
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MarketWatch - Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News
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Markets »

139.01MDow Volume:
Avg Vol: 128.61M
Unchanged
165
Decliners
4918
Advancers
1419
Price Chg %Chg 1 Day
Range: 1 Day
  • 1 Day
  • 5 Days
  • 1 Month
  • 3 Months
  • 6 Months
  • 1 Year
  • 2 Years
Dow
/quotes/zigman/627449/realtime 16,205 -212 1.29%
Nasdaq
/quotes/zigman/12633936/realtime 4,363 -146 3.25%
S&P 500
/quotes/zigman/3870025/realtime 1,880 -35 1.85%
GlobalDow
/quotes/zigman/629063/realtime 2,139 -24 1.12%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31.00 -0.72 2.27%
FTSE 100
/quotes/zigman/3173262/delayed 5,848 -51 0.86%
DAX
/quotes/zigman/2380246/delayed 9,286 -107 1.14%
CAC 40
/quotes/zigman/3173214/delayed 4,201 -28 0.66%
FTSE MIB
/quotes/zigman/1482176/delayed 17,250 -376 2.13%
IBEX 35
/quotes/zigman/2759620/delayed 8,500 +31 0.37%
Stoxx 600
/quotes/zigman/2380150/delayed 326 -3 0.87%
Asia Dow
/quotes/zigman/6959860/realtime 2,510 +7 0.29%
Nikkei 225
/quotes/zigman/5986735/delayed 16,820 -225 1.32%
Hang Seng
/quotes/zigman/2622475/delayed 19,288 +105 0.55%
Shanghai
/quotes/zigman/1859015/delayed 2,763 -18 0.63%
Sensex
/quotes/zigman/1652085/delayed 24,617 +279 1.14%
Singapore
/quotes/zigman/1709939/delayed 2,623 +65 2.53%
Euro
/quotes/zigman/16008136/realtime/sampled 1.12 -0.01 0.47%
Yen
/quotes/zigman/16008150/realtime/sampled 116.87 +0.09 0.08%
Pound
/quotes/zigman/16008140/realtime/sampled 1.45 -0.01 0.60%
Australia$
/quotes/zigman/16008115/realtime/sampled 0.71 -0.01 1.83%
DXY Index
/quotes/zigman/1652083/delayed 96.96 +0.41 0.42%
WSJ $ Idx
/quotes/zigman/41508961/realtime 89.81 +0.50 0.56%
U.S. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866666/realtime 1.83 0.00 0.00%
German 10y
/quotes/zigman/15866409/realtime 0.30 -0.01 2.16%
Italy 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866497/realtime 1.56 +0.05 3.14%
Spain 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866444/realtime 1.65 +0.03 1.72%
U.K. 10yr
/quotes/zigman/15866328/realtime 1.56 0.00 0.00%
Japan 10yr
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Crude Oil
/quotes/zigman/2260836/delayed 31 -1 2.27%
Gold
/quotes/zigman/33772884/delayed 1,174 +17 1.43%
Corn
/quotes/zigman/25518691/delayed 366 -3 0.81%
DJIA F
/quotes/zigman/48241424/delayed 16,118 -210 1.29%
S&P F
/quotes/zigman/43106711/delayed 1,874 -34 1.78%
Silver
/quotes/zigman/32655632/delayed 15 +0 1.21%

Quotes

Symbol Price Change % Change
FB /quotes/zigman/9962609/composite 104.07 -6.42 -5.81%
AAPL /quotes/zigman/68270/composite 94.02 -2.58 -2.67%
GOOG /quotes/zigman/59527964/composite 683.57 -24.44 -3.45%
BAC /quotes/zigman/190927/composite 12.95 -0.30 -2.26%
C /quotes/zigman/5065548/composite 39.86 -0.93 -2.28%
F /quotes/zigman/264304/composite 11.45 -0.08 -0.69%
T /quotes/zigman/398198/composite 36.88 0.35 0.96%
BP /quotes/zigman/247026/composite 30.46 -0.15 -0.49%
GE /quotes/zigman/227468/composite 28.54 -0.64 -2.19%
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Rates »

5 yr CD
1.3%
2 yr CD
0.7%
1 yr CD
0.5%
MMA $10K+
0.2%
MMA $50K+
0.4%

National averages from Bankrate.com

You Don’t Need Another Credit Card, You Need A Better One.
Avg. APR Last Week 6 Months
Low Interest 11.96% 11.88% 11.62%
Business 13.12% 13.11% 12.85%
Student 13.42% 13.42% 13.14%
Balance Transfer 14.35% 14.30% 14.12%
Airline 15.17% 15.16% 15.10%
Cash Back 15.26% 15.23% 15.27%
Reward 15.28% 15.25% 15.14%
Instant Approval 18.21% 18.18% 18.00%
Bad Credit 22.88% 22.88% 22.73%
Source:CreditCards.com

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