By Jonnelle Marte
Investors mark your calendars: Federal Reserve officials are considering three unusual steps to spur economic growth as they prepare to meet Sept. 20 and 21, according to a report in today’s Wall Street Journal. But experts say these options may not have the positive impact officials are aiming for. Here’s a look at the alternative moves being mulled by the Fed, and what they may mean for your portfolio.
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The Fed swaps short-term bonds for longer-term bonds in its portfolio. Known to some market watchers as “Operation Twist,” this move would aim to push down long-term interest rates so they’re lower relative to short-term rates. The goal is to encourage people to borrow more, buy homes or refinance. But the lower rates could force investors to take on more risk in the search for yield, says James Dailey, portfolio manager of the Team Asset Strategy fund (TEAMX). It would also lower the yields on other bonds that are priced off of Treasurys, such as corporate bonds, meaning investors would get paid less for taking greater risk, he says. For corporate bond holders, “not only would you have the credit risk of a junk bond, you now have a low yielding piece of paper.”
The Fed cuts or eliminates the 0.25% interest rate it pays banks to keep cash on reserve with the central bank. The goal here is simple: to stop rewarding banks for holding cash instead of making loans. “In theory it would encourage banks to lend more,” says Joseph Tanious, market strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management. But the move could have unintended effect: A return to reckless lending by banks and a likely increase in defaults, says Dailey.
The Fed gives more details on its policy goals. Under this scenario, the Fed officials would not just say they plan to keep rates low for an extended period, they may add the unemployment rate or inflation rate it wants to see before it would raise rates again. Experts say this kind of explicit language would carry little weight because it’s not clear how much power the Fed would have once we reached those targets. “The problem is that Bernanke and the Fed have done all they can do at this point,” says Tanious. There’s also the chance the economy doesn’t act the way the Fed expects it to, says Dailey, and the plans they have in place for certain situations never come to fruition.
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Populist Andy Jackson brought about the worst recession in US history up to his day by destroying the Bank of the United States which caused a catastrophic collapse of the money supply and a huge contraction in real economic activity.
Populist Barry O is likely to obtain the same result though by other means, namely stifling the economy through excessive regulation (Dodd-Frank, Obama Care, etc.) and politically directed investment (GM bailout, green energy, etc.).
left wing populist economic policies will leave us with an economy akin to present day Greece or Argentina
The only way we could get off the road of economic collapse is to “PASS” the NATIONALIZATION of the Federal Reserve which is not “Federal” nor has a “Reserve” in gold and silver as the U.S. Dollar used to have untill Pres. Richard Nixon took to gold and silver away from the dollar’s backing of the formerly MIGHTY U.S. Dollar. The NATIONALIZATION implies that the U.S. Treasury would exercise the power to print the U.S. Dollar and issue the U.S. Dollar -not on behalf of the privately-controlled Federal Reserve; BUT, on behalf ot the U.S. Government, THE AMERICAN PEOPLE, NOT private bankers with their own agendas to whom we are now paying INTERESTS on money which actually is or should be the property of US ALL. I can not understand why Pres. Obama does not challenge the bankers, the multi-national corporations and monopolies represented mostly by the Republican Party and other useful idiots that; obviously, prefer the downfall of America rather that the downfall of the donations to their campaigns by these un-american money interests. In fact I understand, Pres. Obama: at least Lincoln and Kennedy faced the bullets that killed them because they tried to rescue the money-printing power for the American people. It was only Jackson who -prior to the emergence of the Federal Reserve ponzi scheme- could and did proclaime: “I KILLED THE BANK,” meaning the precursor of the Federal Reserve System. Glad you Read!